Nick Trav Drops - Guild Wars Forums

Tru Unid · Mar 31, 2010, 10:41 PM // 22:41

Chances of getting a Gwen Doll ??.??%

Chances of getting a Yakkington ??.??%

Price of gwen doll: ?

Price of yakk: ?

Neo Nugget · Mar 31, 2010, 10:53 PM // 22:53

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tru Unid

Chances of getting a Gwen Doll ??.??%

Chances of getting a Yakkington ??.??%

http://wiki.guildwars.com/wiki/Gift_...eler/Drop_rate

Doesn't look too high.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tru Unid

Price of gwen doll: ?

Price of yakk: ?

http://www.guildwarsguru.com/forum/m...t10363615.html

Wyndy · Mar 31, 2010, 11:48 PM // 23:48

I have 1 account and usually do the traveler every week since it started. Probably missed 5-6 times. I have a gwen and a yak. Seems like pretty good odds to me.

Tru Unid · Mar 31, 2010, 11:53 PM // 23:53

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wyndy

I have 1 account and usually do the traveler every week since it started. Probably missed 5-6 times. I have a gwen and a yak. Seems like pretty good odds to me.

I have a few ALT accounts and i get 20 gifts a week, i wonder if i should open

Shadowhaze · Apr 01, 2010, 01:00 AM // 01:00

I've done traveller most of the weeks since it's been on. Not one mini or everlasting for me.

Dzjudz · Apr 01, 2010, 02:10 AM // 02:10

I have 2 accounts, done most weeks on both accounts so far. 0 minis or EL tonics or weapons. 2 Moss Spider eggs though

.

guildwarspantera · Apr 01, 2010, 02:15 AM // 02:15

noone really knows the droprate forsure

xarchitect · Apr 01, 2010, 05:17 AM // 05:17

You made me curious so I had to find out what a Gift was worth based on the drop percentages on wiki and the sale prices I looked up on Ventari. If you are buying the gift just to sell what comes out of it, each gift is worth about 3,400 gold.

Assumptions I made (based on recent Ventari posts):
party points are worth 150g
drunk points worth 100g
sweet points worth 150g
Green items in the 10-15k range
Minis worth 550,000 (Gwen), 300,000 (Yak) 175,000 (bunny)
EL Crate 100k
EL Tonic 175k

Method:
Multiply the item value by the percentage chance of getting it (ie 5% chance of getting 1500 gold from sparklers gives a value of 75 gold). Add up all these values for a total. That gets you the 3.4k.

So based on what I see in game now, people are overpaying at 4-5k per gift. As most people speculated, it is cheaper to sell your gifts and buy the item you want. Example 1: If you are only looking for Gwen, you will need about 550,000. If you sell your gifts at 4k each, you need 138 gifts to get it. If you just open gifts for it, you should expect to open about 3,000 before you find one. Example 2: If you want party points, a gift sold at 4k will get you 26 points while a gift opened MAY get you 21 if you get the disco ball (less than 3% chance of that) but more likely will get you 10 points ( about15% chance).

TL;DR - Sell gifts and buy what you want.

**cosyfiep** · Apr 01, 2010, 05:28 AM // 05:28

I have only missed a few weeks and have done nic on at least 2 accounts every week (some weeks 4 accounts)...I even saved up ~50 gifts to open at once (got 8 kegs that time).
I have yet to get a mini or any el tonics....have only gotten one moss egg, bo staff vampiric sword and icy sword...got 2 razors.
I used to keep a journal of my drops and take screenies....

Trader of Secrets · Apr 01, 2010, 05:36 AM // 05:36

Ive missed a few weeks out of this whole nic thing, and do this for 2 accounts. So far Ive gotten 2 Gwen Dolls. None of those special weapons or those other highend mentionables.

xarchitect · Apr 01, 2010, 06:01 AM // 06:01

If you collect 5 gifts per week for a year, you get to open 260 gifts for the year.

Statistcally (based on the 8800+ drops recorded on wiki), 98.5% of those gifts are various party/sweet/drunk points. So the 1.5% that aren't means that you get about 4 total non-consumable items (greens / minis / EL crate / EL tonic / spider egg).

And if you buy gifts at 5k per, you have an 85% chance of getting a prize worth less than that.

Yol · Apr 01, 2010, 01:51 PM // 13:51

Quote:

Originally Posted by xarchitect

If you collect 5 gifts per week for a year, you get to open 260 gifts for the year.

Statistcally (based on the 8800+ drops recorded on wiki), 98.5% of those gifts are various party/sweet/drunk points. So the 1.5% that aren't means that you get about 4 total non-consumable items (greens / minis / EL crate / EL tonic / spider egg).

And if you buy gifts at 5k per, you have an 85% chance of getting a prize worth less than that.

Four non-consumable items per year? I've had two razors, one walking stick and two spider eggs, so I guess I'm at my quota for the year (didn't do some weeks though). Luckily, the year starts again in a few weeks time with the 5th anniversary....really hope I get a mini yakkington....

Arduin · Apr 01, 2010, 02:57 PM // 14:57

And if you sell them at 5k each....

Mar 31, 2010, 10:41 PM // 22:41	#1
Tru Unid Ascalonian Squire Join Date: Mar 2010 Location: United States Guild: Blood Gods Wrath [BGW] (kurz-side) Profession: W/	Nick Trav Drops Chances of getting a Gwen Doll ??.??% Chances of getting a Yakkington ??.??% Price of gwen doll: ? Price of yakk: ?

Apr 01, 2010, 05:28 AM // 05:28	#9
cosyfiep are we there yet? Join Date: Dec 2005 Location: in a land far far away Guild: guild? I am supposed to have a guild? Profession: Rt/	I have only missed a few weeks and have done nic on at least 2 accounts every week (some weeks 4 accounts)...I even saved up ~50 gifts to open at once (got 8 kegs that time). I have yet to get a mini or any el tonics....have only gotten one moss egg, bo staff vampiric sword and icy sword...got 2 razors. I used to keep a journal of my drops and take screenies.... __________________ where is the 'all you can eat' cookie bar?

Apr 01, 2010, 06:01 AM // 06:01	#11
xarchitect Frost Gate Guardian Join Date: Mar 2006 Profession: E/	If you collect 5 gifts per week for a year, you get to open 260 gifts for the year. Statistcally (based on the 8800+ drops recorded on wiki), 98.5% of those gifts are various party/sweet/drunk points. So the 1.5% that aren't means that you get about 4 total non-consumable items (greens / minis / EL crate / EL tonic / spider egg). And if you buy gifts at 5k per, you have an 85% chance of getting a prize worth less than that. Last edited by xarchitect; Apr 01, 2010 at 06:05 AM // 06:05..

Mar 31, 2010, 11:48 PM // 23:48	#3
Wyndy Krytan Explorer Join Date: Nov 2008 Location: in the know Guild: Chronic Chaos Profession: N/Me	I have 1 account and usually do the traveler every week since it started. Probably missed 5-6 times. I have a gwen and a yak. Seems like pretty good odds to me.

Apr 01, 2010, 01:00 AM // 01:00	#5
Shadowhaze Nothing, tra la la? Join Date: Oct 2007	I've done traveller most of the weeks since it's been on. Not one mini or everlasting for me.

Apr 01, 2010, 02:10 AM // 02:10	#6
Dzjudz Furnace Stoker Join Date: Jun 2005 Guild: gwpvx.com/user:dzjudz	I have 2 accounts, done most weeks on both accounts so far. 0 minis or EL tonics or weapons. 2 Moss Spider eggs though .

Apr 01, 2010, 02:15 AM // 02:15	#7
guildwarspantera Wilds Pathfinder Join Date: Mar 2008 Location: Nc (IGN-A Golden Psp) Guild: Smooth Writing Ball Poing [pen] Profession: W/	noone really knows the droprate forsure

Apr 01, 2010, 05:17 AM // 05:17	#8
xarchitect Frost Gate Guardian Join Date: Mar 2006 Profession: E/	You made me curious so I had to find out what a Gift was worth based on the drop percentages on wiki and the sale prices I looked up on Ventari. If you are buying the gift just to sell what comes out of it, each gift is worth about 3,400 gold. Assumptions I made (based on recent Ventari posts): party points are worth 150g drunk points worth 100g sweet points worth 150g Green items in the 10-15k range Minis worth 550,000 (Gwen), 300,000 (Yak) 175,000 (bunny) EL Crate 100k EL Tonic 175k Method: Multiply the item value by the percentage chance of getting it (ie 5% chance of getting 1500 gold from sparklers gives a value of 75 gold). Add up all these values for a total. That gets you the 3.4k. So based on what I see in game now, people are overpaying at 4-5k per gift. As most people speculated, it is cheaper to sell your gifts and buy the item you want. Example 1: If you are only looking for Gwen, you will need about 550,000. If you sell your gifts at 4k each, you need 138 gifts to get it. If you just open gifts for it, you should expect to open about 3,000 before you find one. Example 2: If you want party points, a gift sold at 4k will get you 26 points while a gift opened MAY get you 21 if you get the disco ball (less than 3% chance of that) but more likely will get you 10 points ( about15% chance). TL;DR - Sell gifts and buy what you want.

Apr 01, 2010, 05:36 AM // 05:36	#10
Trader of Secrets Jungle Guide Join Date: Jun 2006	Ive missed a few weeks out of this whole nic thing, and do this for 2 accounts. So far Ive gotten 2 Gwen Dolls. None of those special weapons or those other highend mentionables.

Apr 01, 2010, 02:57 PM // 14:57	#13
Arduin Grotto Attendant Join Date: May 2005 Location: The Netherlands Guild: Limburgse Jagers [LJ] Profession: R/	And if you sell them at 5k each....